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Credit Card Losses Fall to Their Lowest Levels This Year

 
By Eva Norlyk Smith, Ph.D.
September 2, 2010

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Despite persistent high unemployment and remaining uncertainties about the economy, fewer Americans fell behind on their credit card debt in July. All major credit card issuers reported decreases in both July write-offs and late payments, putting credit card losses at their lowest levels yet this year.

Capital One took the lead with one of the steepest decreases in charge-offs, reporting a decline in defaults from 9.28 percent in June to 8.13 percent in July. Capital One delinquencies also dropped, from 4.79 percent down to 4.66 percent. Credit card delinquencies are payments more than 30 days late; they are typically a reliable indicator of future credit card defaults.

JPMorgan Chase also reported the lowest charge-off rates for the year, with defaults declining to 7.95 percent from last month’s 8.38 percent. Chase delinquencies fell as well, dropping from 4.13 percent in June to 4.06 percent in July. Discover Card similarly saw a new low this year, Discover credit card write-offs declined from 8 percent to 7.28 percent in July and late payments inched down from 4.81 percent to 4.72 percent.

Bank of America, which has shouldered some of the highest credit card losses among all major issuers, saw charge-offs move down from 11.98 percent to 11.39 percent in July. The decline solidifies the sharp decrease from 12.7 percent to 11.98 percent in annualized charge-off rates reported by BofA from May to June, an almost 10 percent decline month over month. BofA also reported its lowest delinquency rates so far this year, as late payments declined from 6.16 percent on an annualized basis in June to 5.92 percent in July.

Citigroup, which has been second only to BofA in credit card losses, took the unusual step of restating its losses all the way back to January. The move followed an announcement that the card issuer had discovered a flaw in the way net losses were calculated, causing some accounts to be counted twice, artificially inflating default rates. As a result, Citi lowered the numbers for June write-offs from the 11.46 percent first reported to 10.72 percent. At the same time, the card issuer reported a steep decline in credit card write-offs for July, taking defaults from 10.72 percent in June to 9.10 percent in July, an almost 15 percent drop month over month.

The number of consumers paying their Citi cards late remained high, however. Despite a modest improvement in credit card delinquency rates, Citi had the highest late payment rates of all major card issuers. Payments past-due by 30 days or more stood at 8.32 percent in July, down from 8.58 percent in June.

American Express, which of all major card issuers has been least affected by the economic downturn, continued to report the lowest default rates of all major issuers. Amex credit card losses dropped to 5.4 percent in July, down from June’s 5.9 percent, and close to the territory which before the economic downturn was considered “normal” credit card default levels for most card issuers. American Express delinquencies inched further down as well, from 2.7 percent in June to 2.6 percent in July.

While delinquency and default rates remain high for most card issuers in comparison to pre-recession levels, analysts saw the across-the-board decline in both delinquencies and defaults as an encouraging sign that consumer finances are stabilizing, despite the continuing high unemployment levels and weak economy.


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VIEW RELATED STORIES

U.S. Card Issuers Continue to Pare Losses, Despite Weak Economy - Credit card losses and late payments continued to improve in June for almost all credit card issuers. However, the improvements in credit card write-offs may not be a sign of improving consumer finances.

Fewer consumers fall behind on credit card payments - December credit card write-offs fell across the board for major card issuers, and fewer consumers fell behind on credit card payments, an indication that defaults may continue to improve in the coming months.

Credit Card Defaults Inch Up in August after Long Decline - After months of steady decline, credit card defaults in August began creeping up again for most major credit card issuers. Default rates are widely taken as an indicator of consumers’ financial health, and an important harbinger of economic recovery.

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